forecasts

How we knew COVID was over (and what our models had to unlearn)

Published 2026-08-20 forecasts forecast structure

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It’s possible to predict some El Niños a year in advance. Here’s why that matters

Published 2026-11-10 niños forecasts predictions

A potentially record-shattering El Niño is currently forming in the Pacific. Having more time to prepare could save lives.

Canary Islands Eruption Resets Volcano Forecasts

Published 2021-12-21 basaltic volcano resets

A volcanologist says the eruption on the island of La Palma is a unique window into the “personality” of basaltic volcanoes. Learn more about your ad choices. V…

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